John Kasich- Milwaukee, Wisconsin: Analysis

Ohio governor John Kasich sought support from his party when he spoke at the Republican Party of Milwaukee County Dinner on April 1. The speech highlighted the presidential candidate’s past experience in hopes of appealing to working class voters and establishing his credibility.

kasich speech

The Economy

Claim 1: “I understand people who are Donald Trump voters. Let me tell you who they are and what they worry about. They worry about the fact that they could lose their job.”

A Washington Post poll found that 42 percent of Donald Trump’s supporters are worried about maintaining their current standard of living. This is far more than supporters of other Republican candidates, verifying Kasich’s claim. However, Kasich was not shown on the chart.

trump

It seems Americans as a whole, not just supporters of a particular candidate, are worried about losing their jobs. According to a Pew Research Center study, 62 percent of Americans fear they will be out of work because of the current state of the U.S. economy.

Claim 2: “The Republicans said they needed to raise taxes. I ran a campaign that said we should have no tax increases.”

Both New York Magazine and The Week reported Republicans wanted to raise taxes on the poor in 2014, the same time Kasich was running for office.

In a campaign advertisement that year, Kasich boasted his previous tax cuts, insinuating he would continue to cut taxes for Ohioans.

“John Kasich took office, made the tough calls, and today Ohio is on a better path. Governor Kasich erased an $8 billion budget shortfall without raising taxes. Over 250,000 private sector jobs have been created and Kasich cut taxes by $3 billion,” the video said, verifying he ran a tax cut focused campaign.

kasich taxes

Claim 3: “I’ve cut taxes as the governor of the state more than any governor in America.”

PolitiFact said their research found Kansas is most often attributed to having the largest tax cuts, not Ohio. The disconnect between Kasich’s claims and Kansas’ credit is in the ratio of the states’ population to taxes. While Ohio’s tax cuts were $4.9 million and Kansas’ are $3.9 million, Ohio’s population was 11.6 million in 2014 and Kansas’ was 2.9 million.

While Ohio did have $1 million more in tax cuts, it also has almost four times as many residents.

Additionally, the site said the Legislature had more to do with Ohio’s tax cut than Kasich himself did. While Kasich did approve the cut, the version the Legislature passed was double Kasich’s original proposal.

“While Ohio’s cuts are significant, when you factor in state population and economic size, Kansas’ reduction may be larger over time,” the article read. “Ohio’s shifting of the tax burden, from individual income tax to taxation on consumption, is what some consider more of a tax shift than a tax cut, and forces local governments to raise taxes in turn.”

According to the site, Kasich made this claim at several other speeches and debates.

Claim 4: “We went from a loss of 350,000 jobs to a gain of over 400,000 jobs with wages growing faster than the national average.” 

Fact Check said this statistic is a favorite of Kasich, as he has mentioned it various times. The site said the number of jobs in Ohio is up 383,500 since Kasich became governor in 2011.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics verified 400,700 private-sector jobs were instilled in the state between the beginning of 2011 and the end of 2015. While Kasich’s 400,000 boast is accurate, the private-sector growth rate nationwide is 11.7 percent and Ohio’s is 9.3.

During Kasich’s time as governor, Ohio’s job growth rate was 7.6 percent and the U.S. as a whole is 9.5 percent. The rate seems to fluctuate often, as Ohio’s was 9.2 percent in January 2011 and 4.8 in December, while the nation’s was 9.1 percent in January and 5 percent in December.

His Resumé

Claim 5: “In 1982, there was only one Republican candidate for the United States congress who defeated an incumbent Democrat, and that person was John Kasich.”

A PolitiFact chart shows that there was only one Democratic incumbent defeated in 1982, the year Kasich won, validating his claim.

kasich yellow

Claim 6: “I was called into the Pentagon after 9/11 by Secretary Rumsfeld…I lead people who were technology experts into the Pentagon to deal with our technology problems.”

The Cincinnati Enquirer verified that Rumsfeld asked Kasich to go to the Pentagon in light of the attacks in 2001.

“Kasich did indeed help with a Pentagon initiative in the months following Sept. 11, 2001, said Donald Rumsfeld…In fact, Rumsfeld told the Enquirer, Kasich’s involvement may have been his own idea,” the article read.

Rumsfeld also said Kasich was the person to initiate technological productivity at that time.

“Kasich suggested bringing in experts from financial and technology companies to help the government prepare for possible cyber attacks from terrorists,” the article attributes to Rumsfeld.

Rumsfeld said the Pentagon brought between one and two dozen technology experts to help the government fight terrorists by tracking and limiting financing among terrorist groups after Kasich’s suggestion.

Claim 7: “I was a giant television star at Fox News.”

Kasich sought to boost his credibility by mentioning his past with the conservative network.

Not only was he on the company’s payroll, but the money he earned largely contributed to his over $1 million earnings in 2008. According to the Columbus Dispatch, Kasich’s tax return that year showed Fox paid him $265,000.

Media Matters verified that the candidate is the fourth former Fox employees to run for office after Ben Carson, Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum. The site said Kasich’s “long career” with the company helped ensure he would become Ohio’s governor, potentially giving him leverage in the current election.

“Fox built up Kasich during his years as an employee and politician, and Kasich has pointed to his time at Fox to enhance his resumé,” the article read.

kasich fox

 

Claim 8: “I won 86 out of 88 counties.” 

The Columbus Dispatch, Politico and Cleveland.com all reported that when the polls closed, Kasich did in fact win all but two counties in his reelection for governor.

ohio

While the race four years prior was one of the state’s closest since the 1970s, the incumbent won the election with ease, losing only Athens and Monroe counties to Democratic opponent Ed FitzGerald.

ohio 3

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